Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 52.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Norris
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Norris
Zibanejad
Last 7: Norris 4-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Norris
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
53.3% (807)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
47.6% (42)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.3% (147)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Norris shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Norris
Zibanejad
Home
48.1% (233)
49.8% (466)
Away
51.6% (246)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Norris
Zibanejad
P1
53.1%
52.9%
P2
49.2%
51.2%
P3
48.4%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |