Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 51.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Norris
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Norris
Zibanejad
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
3
Norris
Zibanejad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Norris
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
8
Norris
Zibanejad
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
50.9% (11,756)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
52.2% (1,852)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
41.6% (1,796)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Norris
Zibanejad
Home
53.1% (1,896)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Norris
Zibanejad
P1
55.5%
50.4%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
50.1%
49.9%
OT
39.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |