Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Norris
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
44.3% (271)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
77.8% (18)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
31.7% (41)
+15.0%
On power play, Cates has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Norris
Cates
Home
50.7% (351)
52.0% (148)
Away
54.0% (278)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Norris
Cates
P1
55.6%
42.7%
P2
49.3%
42.9%
P3
52.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.5%