Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Acciari 50.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 85.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Norris
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Norris
Acciari
Last 6: Norris 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Norris
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
52.7% (313)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
33.3% (18)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
49.7% (195)
-6.8%
On power play, Norris has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Norris shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Norris
Acciari
Home
48.1% (233)
52.6% (291)
Away
51.6% (246)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Norris
Acciari
P1
53.1%
53.7%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
48.4%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |