Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Acciari 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 86.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 60.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Norris
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Norris
Acciari
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
10
1
Norris
Acciari
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Norris
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
1
Norris
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
52.8% (3,304)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
48.3% (87)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
47.0% (1,073)
-1.6%
On power play, Norris has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Norris
Acciari
Home
53.1% (1,896)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Norris
Acciari
P1
55.5%
52.3%
P2
51.5%
51.5%
P3
50.1%
50.2%
OT
39.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Josh Norris |