Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
46.0% (250)
+4.5%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
70.6% (17)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
31.8% (22)
+11.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.1% (233)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.6% (246)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.1%
48.5%
P2
49.2%
45.9%
P3
48.4%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%