Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 64.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 69.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 69.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Norris 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
4
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
44.8% (8,775)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
50.6% (844)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
37.8% (880)
+7.6%
On even strength, Norris has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (1,896)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.5%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
43.9%
P3
50.1%
45.2%
OT
39.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |