Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Norris
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Karlsson
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Norris
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
51.4% (735)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
63.5% (115)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
42.9% (133)
-4.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Norris
Karlsson
Home
55.6% (487)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.0% (549)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Norris
Karlsson
P1
54.8%
50.7%
P2
51.3%
51.4%
P3
48.0%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Josh Norris |