Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 67.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 70.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 70.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Norris
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Norris
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Norris
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
56.3% (739)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
58.6% (181)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
47.2% (53)
-0.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Norris
Karlsson
Home
50.7% (351)
56.5% (462)
Away
54.0% (278)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Norris
Karlsson
P1
55.6%
57.1%
P2
49.3%
55.2%
P3
52.1%
56.7%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |