Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 83.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 56.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 58.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Norris
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
47.2% (687)
+3.3%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
45.0% (20)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.0% (88)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
48.1% (233)
44.4% (356)
Away
51.6% (246)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
53.1%
42.2%
P2
49.2%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Josh Norris |