Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 79.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 71.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Norris
Gourde
Last 10: Norris 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
2
Norris
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
2
Norris
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
7
5
Norris
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
48.4% (4,987)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
57.4% (376)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
40.0% (555)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
53.1% (1,896)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
55.5%
49.8%
P2
51.5%
47.5%
P3
50.1%
47.5%
OT
39.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |