Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.2%
Defensive zone
Danforth 71.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 61.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Danforth
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Danforth
Aho
Last 5: Danforth 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Danforth
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
54.5% (870)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.4% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
37.1% (62)
+6.5%
On power play, Aho has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Danforth
Aho
Home
51.1% (315)
53.9% (603)
Away
48.0% (346)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Danforth
Aho
P1
49.5%
54.1%
P2
51.4%
55.0%
P3
46.6%
57.4%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |