Justin Danforth vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 70.0%
Defensive zone
Danforth 81.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 56.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Danforth
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Danforth
Aho
Last 10: Danforth 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
7
Danforth
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
50.2% (6,646)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
46.5% (465)
-6.4%
On power play, Aho has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Danforth
Aho
Home
51.4% (619)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
48.3% (642)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Danforth
Aho
P1
49.1%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
52.1%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
OT
64.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |