Justin Dowling vs Steven Stamkos

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +23.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-23.2%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 61.3%
Defensive zone Dowling 62.9%
Neutral zone Stamkos 57.8%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dowling Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
57.1% (368)
-23.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +23.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Dowling shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Dowling
Stamkos
Home
100.0% (1)
53.9% (230)
Away
0.0% (2)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Dowling
Stamkos
P1
33.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
59.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Stamkos
66.0%
56.5%
56.5%