Who wins more faceoffs, Justin Hryckowian or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Justin Hryckowian's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Justin Hryckowian is 1-7 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-4, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Justin Hryckowian or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 70.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Justin Hryckowian vs Nathan MacKinnon

Justin HryckowianL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Justin Hryckowian holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hryckowian 54.1% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+4.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 79.8%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 56.2%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 65.2%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.2%

29.8%

70.2%

Hryckowian MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 7 (8 meetings)

Hryckowian MacKinnon

Last 8: Hryckowian 1-7 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Hryckowian MacKinnon

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Hryckowian MacKinnon

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Hryckowian MacKinnon

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

58.4% (238)

49.7% (1,038)

+8.7%

Power Play

55.6% (9)

63.7% (157)

-8.1%

Penalty Kill

33.3% (30)

34.4% (32)

-1.1%

On even strength, Hryckowian has a +8.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Hryckowian is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).

Hryckowian shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).

Home / Away

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

Home

57.7% (142)

53.1% (618)

Away

53.3% (135)

49.1% (609)

By Period

Hryckowian

MacKinnon

49.4%

49.3%

64.5%

53.0%

49.4%

50.7%

0.0%

66.7%

Final 5 min

54.4%

56.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Hryckowian

48.0%▼

55.0%

55.6%

MacKinnon

44.0%▼

50.5%

51.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 18, 2026	3	09:55	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 18, 2026	3	09:51	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 18, 2026	2	19:08	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	OT	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	3	10:48	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	2	17:40	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 6, 2026	1	13:40	Defensive	Justin Hryckowian
Oct 11, 2025	1	13:40	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon

Hryckowian's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile