Justin Sourdif vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Granlund 49.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 70.8%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 76.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 69.3%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Sourdif
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sourdif
Granlund
Last 7: Sourdif 2-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Sourdif
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Sourdif
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
49.7% (493)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
58.6% (111)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
31.1% (61)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Granlund
Home
43.6% (321)
54.7% (276)
Away
46.2% (301)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Sourdif
Granlund
P1
41.9%
52.2%
P2
44.3%
49.3%
P3
47.9%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |