Justin Sourdif vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Granlund 48.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 67.2%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 77.2%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 71.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Sourdif
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sourdif
Granlund
Last 7: Sourdif 2-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Sourdif
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Sourdif
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
48.6% (6,765)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
53.0% (760)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
43.6% (635)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Granlund
Home
43.6% (321)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
46.2% (301)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Sourdif
Granlund
P1
41.9%
48.8%
P2
44.3%
48.7%
P3
47.9%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |