Scouting Report
Keegan Kolesar holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.8% vs Gregor 45.9% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 55.7%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 53.9%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kolesar
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (170)
33.3% (33)
+7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Kolesar has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Kolesar is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Kolesar shoots right. Gregor is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Gregor
Home
38.0% (92)
33.3% (15)
Away
42.7% (96)
35.0% (20)
By Period
Kolesar
Gregor
P1
41.0%
33.3%
P2
41.9%
33.3%
P3
37.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
38.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
40.4%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
34.3%