Keegan Kolesar vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kolesar 48.0% vs Carrick 54.2% (-15.0%)
Offensive zone Kolesar 72.0%
Defensive zone Carrick 79.9%
Neutral zone Carrick 56.6%
Result Sam Carrick favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kolesar Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kolesar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (25)
55.5% (470)
-15.5%
On even strength, Carrick has a +15.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kolesar is 75.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kolesar shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Carrick
Home
33.3% (15)
58.6% (261)
Away
50.0% (10)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Kolesar
Carrick
P1
53.8%
55.9%
P2
28.6%
53.5%
P3
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%
38.0%
40.0%
Carrick
60.0%
57.0%
55.0%