Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Eller 55.0% (-20.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Hayes
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
56.0% (459)
-24.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
77.8% (9)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.9% (54)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Hayes
Eller
Home
30.6% (49)
52.6% (215)
Away
40.4% (57)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Hayes
Eller
P1
22.9%
54.1%
P2
40.0%
57.6%
P3
44.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
30.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%