Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.8% vs 35.4%). Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Rakell 40.7% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 59.2%
Defensive zone
Rakell 50.1%
Neutral zone
Rakell 51.9%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hayes
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
35.3% (136)
-3.4%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
43.8% (32)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (7)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayes has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Rakell is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rakell
Home
30.6% (49)
41.5% (82)
Away
40.4% (57)
30.1% (93)
By Period
Hayes
Rakell
P1
22.9%
35.6%
P2
40.0%
37.3%
P3
44.4%
31.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
35.4%