Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Rakell 44.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 80.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Hayes
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hayes
Rakell
Last 8: Hayes 5-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
44.2% (1,886)
+3.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.2% (203)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
21.7% (23)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rakell
Home
48.1% (3,982)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Hayes
Rakell
P1
47.5%
45.6%
P2
47.6%
41.9%
P3
47.9%
46.1%
OT
54.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |