Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
45.4% (527)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
41.2% (17)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.9% (138)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (313)
46.1% (336)
Away
48.2% (363)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
49.1%
P2
47.7%
45.3%
P3
48.4%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |