Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
46.0% (250)
-14.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
70.6% (17)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
31.8% (22)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
30.6% (49)
50.3% (175)
Away
40.4% (57)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
22.9%
48.5%
P2
40.0%
45.9%
P3
44.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
30.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%