Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Poehling 48.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 86.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 69.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Hayes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Hayes
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
50.4% (680)
-18.5%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
58.3% (12)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.8% (219)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Hayes
Poehling
Home
30.6% (49)
47.4% (422)
Away
40.4% (57)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Hayes
Poehling
P1
22.9%
53.3%
P2
40.0%
40.3%
P3
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |