Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Couturier 54.5% (-12.8%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Hayes
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
57.4% (303)
-14.7%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
65.5% (55)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
40.0% (70)
+5.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
43.5% (232)
54.3% (219)
Away
42.4% (375)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
40.1%
53.2%
P2
44.8%
54.8%
P3
42.4%
57.9%
OT
80.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%