Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Couturier 53.6% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 67.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Hayes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hayes
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
53.9% (792)
-22.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
62.9% (70)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (234)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Hayes
Couturier
Home
30.6% (49)
51.4% (541)
Away
40.4% (57)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Hayes
Couturier
P1
22.9%
56.0%
P2
40.0%
52.6%
P3
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
30.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |