Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Hayes
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Hayes
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Hayes
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
49.0% (210)
-6.3%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
63.6% (22)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
47.3% (55)
-2.1%
On power play, Girgensons has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
43.5% (232)
52.1% (142)
Away
42.4% (375)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
40.1%
54.3%
P2
44.8%
49.1%
P3
42.4%
44.8%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |