Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Hayes
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
36.2% (94)
-2.9%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
0.0% (1)
+64.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
30.6% (49)
38.0% (50)
Away
45.7% (46)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
24.2%
43.2%
P2
43.8%
34.3%
P3
46.7%
32.5%
Final 5 min
31.8%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%