Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Girgensons 46.8% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 76.4%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hayes
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
45.1% (164)
-13.2%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
50.0% (2)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.2% (31)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Hayes
Girgensons
Home
30.6% (49)
44.6% (92)
Away
40.4% (57)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Hayes
Girgensons
P1
22.9%
44.2%
P2
40.0%
46.0%
P3
44.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%