Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Eller 55.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 64.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Stenlund
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
56.0% (459)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
77.8% (9)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
51.9% (54)
-0.3%
On power play, Eller has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Eller
Home
56.9% (483)
52.6% (215)
Away
52.5% (526)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Stenlund
Eller
P1
54.2%
54.1%
P2
53.2%
57.6%
P3
56.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |