Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 77.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
55.9% (835)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
61.8% (228)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
50.0% (40)
+1.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
56.9% (483)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.5% (526)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
54.2%
55.8%
P2
53.2%
55.7%
P3
56.9%
59.0%
OT
42.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |