Kevin Stenlund vs Leon Draisaitl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.3%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
9
Stenlund
Draisaitl
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
18
3
Stenlund
Draisaitl
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
5
Stenlund
Draisaitl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
52.9% (10,240)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
55.7% (2,827)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
51.2% (977)
-0.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
54.3% (1,873)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
56.2%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
53.0%
53.4%
OT
52.9%
57.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |