Kevin Stenlund vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 84.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 78.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 58.9%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stenlund
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Stenlund
Celebrini
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
6
Stenlund
Celebrini
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
47.8% (993)
+8.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
54.1% (111)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
56.0% (25)
-4.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Celebrini is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Celebrini
Home
56.9% (483)
48.5% (538)
Away
52.5% (526)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Stenlund
Celebrini
P1
54.2%
48.1%
P2
53.2%
46.8%
P3
56.9%
51.0%
OT
42.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |