Kevin Stenlund vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Celebrini 48.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 59.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 79.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Stenlund
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Stenlund
Celebrini
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
8
Stenlund
Celebrini
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
9
1
Stenlund
Celebrini
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
47.5% (1,894)
+7.8%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
54.4% (250)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
55.6% (36)
-5.2%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Celebrini
Home
54.3% (1,873)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Stenlund
Celebrini
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
53.3%
46.6%
P3
53.0%
51.4%
OT
52.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |