Kevin Stenlund vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs McCarron 52.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 68.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 70.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Stenlund
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Stenlund
McCarron
Last 10: Stenlund 2-8 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
5
Stenlund
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
9
Stenlund
McCarron
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
53.3% (2,926)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
45.3% (86)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
50.1% (469)
+0.3%
On power play, Stenlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McCarron
Home
54.3% (1,873)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Stenlund
McCarron
P1
56.2%
53.8%
P2
53.3%
52.3%
P3
53.0%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |