Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
50.9% (913)
+3.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
59.0% (39)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
37.5% (160)
+6.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Home
50.7% (402)
51.1% (536)
Away
52.0% (433)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Stenlund
Zibanejad
P1
56.5%
50.1%
P2
52.4%
47.3%
P3
45.2%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |