Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 77.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 66.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Stenlund
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
53.3% (807)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
47.6% (42)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
46.3% (147)
+5.3%
On power play, Stenlund has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Home
56.9% (483)
49.8% (466)
Away
52.5% (526)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Stenlund
Zibanejad
P1
54.2%
52.9%
P2
53.2%
51.2%
P3
56.9%
51.7%
OT
42.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |