Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Kadri 46.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 94.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Stenlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stenlund
Kadri
Last 8: Stenlund 5-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Stenlund
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
46.5% (866)
+9.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
48.8% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
38.5% (13)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kadri
Home
56.9% (483)
45.8% (513)
Away
52.5% (526)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Stenlund
Kadri
P1
54.2%
52.4%
P2
53.2%
48.5%
P3
56.9%
39.7%
OT
42.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |