Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Kadri 48.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 55.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Stenlund
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
20
(44 meetings)
24
20
Stenlund
Kadri
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
15
Stenlund
Kadri
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
20
2
Stenlund
Kadri
22 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stenlund
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
48.1% (12,555)
+7.2%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
53.0% (1,892)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
41.0% (293)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,341).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kadri
Home
54.3% (1,873)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Stenlund
Kadri
P1
56.2%
49.1%
P2
53.3%
48.7%
P3
53.0%
47.9%
OT
52.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |