Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Stenlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
49.7% (292)
+6.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (6)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
47.2% (36)
+4.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Home
56.9% (483)
48.7% (193)
Away
52.5% (526)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Stenlund
Bjugstad
P1
54.2%
41.5%
P2
53.2%
57.3%
P3
56.9%
50.0%
OT
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |