Kevin Stenlund vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 89.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 73.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Last 10: Stenlund 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Stenlund
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Stenlund
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Stenlund
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
48.6% (6,646)
+6.7%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
55.2% (829)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
44.3% (614)
+6.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Bjugstad
Home
54.3% (1,873)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Stenlund
Bjugstad
P1
56.2%
48.9%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
53.0%
48.5%
OT
52.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |