Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 93.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Stenlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stenlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Stenlund
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
51.3% (945)
+4.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.7% (282)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
40.3% (67)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suzuki
Home
56.9% (483)
51.0% (637)
Away
52.5% (526)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Stenlund
Suzuki
P1
54.2%
53.1%
P2
53.2%
47.4%
P3
56.9%
51.3%
OT
42.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |