Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Stenlund
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Stenlund
Suzuki
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
8
Stenlund
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
49.4% (6,368)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.8% (1,355)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
44.0% (466)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Suzuki
Home
54.3% (1,873)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Stenlund
Suzuki
P1
56.2%
48.9%
P2
53.3%
49.1%
P3
53.0%
50.3%
OT
52.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |