Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Hischier 56.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Stenlund
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stenlund
Hischier
Last 8: Stenlund 5-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Stenlund
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
56.1% (1,018)
-1.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
59.9% (289)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
51.3% (80)
-7.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hischier
Home
50.7% (402)
56.5% (706)
Away
52.0% (433)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Stenlund
Hischier
P1
56.5%
54.8%
P2
52.4%
57.8%
P3
45.2%
57.6%
OT
100.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |