Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Hischier 55.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 78.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 55.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Stenlund
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Stenlund
Hischier
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Stenlund
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
3
Stenlund
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
55.5% (1,172)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
64.5% (265)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
43.9% (164)
+7.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hischier
Home
56.9% (483)
56.8% (791)
Away
52.5% (526)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Stenlund
Hischier
P1
54.2%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
58.6%
P3
56.9%
53.5%
OT
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |