Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 61.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Stenlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
53.0% (700)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
54.1% (109)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
39.2% (74)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zacha
Home
56.9% (483)
51.6% (438)
Away
52.5% (526)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Stenlund
Zacha
P1
54.2%
57.0%
P2
53.2%
48.9%
P3
56.9%
50.5%
OT
42.1%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |