Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Donato 47.1% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 60.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 96.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 83.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Stenlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
46.8% (297)
+9.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
41.0% (39)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
100.0% (1)
-48.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Donato
Home
56.9% (483)
45.8% (142)
Away
52.5% (526)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Stenlund
Donato
P1
54.2%
49.5%
P2
53.2%
45.7%
P3
56.9%
43.4%
OT
42.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |