Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 51.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Stenlund
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
49.2% (307)
+9.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
66.7% (6)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
48.2% (56)
-6.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Stenlund shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Carrick
Home
53.6% (261)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.8% (265)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Stenlund
Carrick
P1
55.4%
41.0%
P2
51.5%
51.2%
P3
52.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.3%