Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 76.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Stenlund
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Stenlund
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
39.7% (461)
+16.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
41.0% (61)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
0.0% (1)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Stenlund shoots right. Wright is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Wright
Home
56.9% (483)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.5% (526)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Stenlund
Wright
P1
54.2%
40.2%
P2
53.2%
36.7%
P3
56.9%
42.9%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Shane Wright |