Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Wright 43.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 90.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 59.4%
Neutral zone
Wright 71.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Stenlund
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Stenlund
Wright
Last 5: Stenlund 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Stenlund
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
3
5
Stenlund
Wright
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
42.7% (1,326)
+12.6%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
45.1% (133)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
33.3% (6)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Stenlund shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Wright
Home
54.3% (1,873)
44.2% (746)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Stenlund
Wright
P1
56.2%
44.5%
P2
53.3%
40.5%
P3
53.0%
44.0%
OT
52.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |